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Last Updated: 06:48 AM GMT 2008 azaroa ren 21 an
— Last Comment: 03:59 AM GMT 2008 azaroa ren 21 an
   NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook Significant Snowfall for Winter 2008-2009 ========================================== No significant snow has fallen.. but nearly an inch has been reported. =========================================================== Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2008 season 21Nov2008 6:00 a.m. UTC/21Nov2008 0:00 a.m. CST ============================================== Information used for this blog are from Joint Typhoon Warning Center ----------------- Northwestern Pacific ----------------- Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo Hong Kong Observatory: China Typhoon 2000: Philippines PAGASA: Manila, Philippines ------------------ Northern Indian Ocean -------------------- India Meteorological Department: New Delphi Thailand Meteorological Department ------------------------ Northeastern Pacific Ocean ------------------------ National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL ------------------------- Central Northeastern Pacific ---------------------------- Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii --------------------------- Southern Indian Ocean --------------------------- Bureau of Meteorology Australia Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia Mauritius Meteorological Service Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center -------------------------- Southern Pacific Ocean ----------------------- Bureau of Meteorology Australia Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington ========================================= ----------------------------------------------------------- CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD  ------------------------------------------------------------ =========================== Northeast Pacific Ocean =========================== Area of Responsibility ================================= National Hurricane Center - Miami, Florida Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold) ==================================== November EP0818.Polo - 1005 hPa ----------------------------------------------------------- =========================== Northwest Pacific Ocean =========================== Japan Meteorological Agency There are no tropical cyclones or tropical low pressure areas within the northwestern Pacific Ocean Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ======================================== November T0819.Maysak/Quinta/Siony - 985 hPa TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROLLY - 1006 hPa TROPICAL DEPRESSION - 1004 hPa T0821.Noul/Tonyo - 996 hPa T0820.Haishen - 1006 hPa ----------------------------------------------------------- =========================== Southwest Pacific Ocean =========================== Area of Responsibilities ============================= TCWC Papua New Guinea (Equator-10S) Bureau of Meteorology TCWC Darwin and Brisbane, Australia (125E-160E) Tropical Cyclone Outlook (Northern Territory, Australia 125E-142E) ============================================= No Tropical Lows or Cyclones are expected to form in the next three days Tropical Cyclone Outlook (Eastern Australia 142E-160E) =========================================== No Tropical Lows or Cyclones are expected to form in the next three days ------------------------------------------------------------ Area of Responsibilities ============================= Fiji Meteorological Services (north of 25S, 160E-140W) Wellington Meteorological Services NZ (south of 25S) Tropcial Disturbance Summaries ============================== no current bulletin Tropical Weather Outlook ======================= Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ======================================== November ------------------------------------------------------------ ====================== North Indian Ocean ======================= Area of Responsibility ================================= RSMC: India Meteorological Department (New Delphi, India) Tropical Cyclone Outlook - 0600z 20NOV ========================================= Convective clouds are seen over parts of south Andaman Sea, southwest Bay of Bengal, Commorin Area, and southeast Arabian Sea.  Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ======================================== November BOB06.Khai-Muk - 996 hPa ----------------------------------------------------------- ========================= Southeastern Indian Ocean ========================== Area of Responsibilities ============================= TCWC Jakarta Indonesia (Equator-10S) Bureau of Meteorology TCWC Perth, Australia (90E-125E) TROPICAL LOW, Ex ANIKA (CAT 1) 15.8ºS 106.3ºE - 30 knots 1002 hPa Tropical Cyclone Outlook ==================================== Tropical Cyclone Warning (Central Indian Ocean 90E-110E) ============================================= At 0:00 AM UTC Tropical Low, Ex Anika (1002 hPa) located at 15.8S 106.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. The low is reported as moving east-southeast at 12 knots. Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.5 Additional Information ======================= Anika has now weakened below tropical cyclone intensity under moderate to strong north-northwesterly shear and cooler sea surface temperatures. Latest imagery shows a clearly exposed low level circulation center northwest of the convection. Dvorak: FT=2.0 based on MET. CI of 2.5. The LLCC is expected to track to the east southeast over the next 24 to 48 hours. There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies. Tropical Cyclone Outlook ========================= Ex TC Bernard lies near 10S 90E and is expected to move in a eastwards direction and continue to dissipate. There are no other significant tropical lows evidentnd the likelihood of a tropical cyclone developing in the next three days. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential ---------------------------------- Saturday : Low Sunday : Low Monday : Low Tropical Cyclone Outlook (Western Australia 110E 125E) =========================================== Ex Tropical Cyclone Anika lies near 16S 107E and is moving to the southeast and will continue to dissapate. There are no other significant tropical lows evident and the likelihood of a tropical cyclone developing in the next three days Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential ---------------------------------- Saturday : Low Sunday : Low Monday : Low Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold) ==================================== November 01I.ANIKA - 990 hPa (BOM names) ======================= Southwest Indian Ocean ======================== Area of Responsibility ============================= RSMC: Mauritius Meteorogical Services (55E-90E) RSMC: Seychelles Meteorological Services (African coast - 55E) Mauritius Meteorological Services PERTURBATION TROPICALE, Ex BERNARD (03-20082009) 10.5ºS 91.5ºE - 25 knots 1003 hPa Tropical Cyclone Warning #8 (0000z 21NOV) ====================================== At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance, Ex Bernard (1003 hPa) located at 10.5S 91.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving east at 22 knots Dvorak Intensity: T1.0/1.5 Additional Information ======================= Over the last hours, the system has fully disorganized and deep convection has completely vanished. This spectacular weakening leads to break dovrak rules. The center is difficult to precisely locate on the infrared imagery. Even microwave imageries do not show any organized clockwise circulation. Upper level environmental conditions (particularly increasing northerly wind shear) should not allow the system to re-intensify. The system still tracks very quickly along the southern edge of the near equatorial ridge. THIS IS THE FINAL WARINIG ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION. NO MORE WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED. FOR FURTHER DETAILS, SEE PERTH HIGH SEAS FORECASTS Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ====================================== November 03R.BERNARD - 994 hPa ------------------------------------------------------------ T-num JMA IMD US SS Cat Aus Scale (10 min) (3 min) (1 min) ============================================================ Tropical Depression ---------------------- 1.0 25 kt Low 25 kt Tropical Low 1.5 30 kt 25 kts 30 kt 2.0 30 kt 30 kts 35 kt Tropical Storm --------------------- 2.5 35 kt 35-40 40 kt Cat 1 3.0 45_kt 45-50 50_kt Severe Tropical Storm --------------------- 3.5 55 kt 50-60 55 kt Cat 2 Typhoon -------------------------- 4.0 65 kt 65-70 65 kt 1 Cat 3 4.5 70 kt 77-85 75 kt 1-2 5.0 80 kt 90 90 kt 2-3 5.5 90 kt 102 100 kt 3 Cat 4 6.0 95 kt 115 115 kt 4 6.5 100 kt 127 130 kt 4 Super Typhoon ----------------------------- 7.0 110 kt 140 140 kt 5 Cat 5 7.5 115 kt 155 155 kt 5 8.0 120 kt 170 170 kt 5 Note: India Meteorological Department intensity now according to their website FAQ section. Thanks goes to MargieKieper for this helpful chart =) 388 TCNA21 RJTD 080000 CCAA 08000 47644 MAYSAK(0819) 27151 11157 13234 230// 93204= 0000 UTC November 8 2008 TS Maysak (0819) 15.1N 115.7E Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
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